Sunday, September 14, 2008

THE INCREDIBLE SHRINKING CANDIDATE:


Without question recent polls have Barack Obama back on his heels and playing defense. The candidate who once boasted of a 50-state strategy has quietly been pulling back staffers and advertisers from a number of states he once thought he could win. This weekend there were a number of polls released that should keep democratic strategists up at night. Florida now appears to be out of reach with polls showing McCain up as much as 8 points, a larger spread than Bush had over Kerry. Pennsylvania, a must win for Obama with its 21 electoral votes, now shows McCain leading by 5% points according to Zogby.

In addition, the latest Michigan (17 Electoral Votes) poll has McCain up by 1%. And even Ronald Reagan could not win Minnesota when he won 49 states. The latest Star-Tribune has the race tied.
Finally the last Rasmussen Reports poll has Obama only up by 2% in usually reliable Washington State.

If Obama loses either Minnesota, or Michigan, or Pennsylvania or Washington the road to 270 electoral votes gets very hard to map. Stay tuned...

EXPERIENCE: The Obama campaign has recently been playing up the experience card hoping to drive home the point that Palin is too experienced (even tho she is the only of the top 4 candidates with EXECUTIVE experience.) This strategy has backfired magnificiently as the latest poll shows:
The poll suggests that perceived inexperience is more of a problem at the top of the Democratic ticket than in the No. 2 spot for Republicans.
Eighty percent say McCain, with nearly three decades in Congress, has the right experience to be president. Just 46 percent say Obama, now in his fourth year in the Senate, is experienced enough. Fully 47 percent say Obama lacks the proper experience — an even worse reading than the 36 percent who had the same criticism about McCain running mate Sarah Palin, serving her second year as Alaska governor after being a small-town mayor. Read about the poll here.


2 comments:

Nancy Swider said...

Absolutely, this guy is going away rapidly. Over at my site, nancysinsights.com were talking about how the media is blowing this election. Would love to know your thoughts! Enjoy your blog!

Nancy Swider said...

I added your blog to my blog roll. Yeah, I enjoy pink, its conservative from a female perspective. Your on my roll now so feel free to come by and check things out.