This one is big. Wisconsin will very likely be won by Mitt Romney in November! This will be the first time Wisconsin has voted for the GOP candidate since Ronald Reagan's 49 state victory in 1984. We base this not only on the most recent poll, but more importantly on the last FOUR statewide elections which have been won by the GOP and more recently the Republicans have won by a wider margin than they did two years ago!
Much has been made of the recent Rasmussen Reports poll showing Mitt Romney ahead in Wisconsin 47% - 44%. The Obama Gender Gap is in full view with Male voters in the state prefer Romney 52% to 37%, while female voters support the president 50% to 42%. The election likely won't be that close. Remember that Scott Walker recently his recall election by about 7 percentage points, winning 60 of Wisconsin's 72 counties. In fact the last four Statewide elections have gone to the Republican Candidate!
2012 Governor's Recall Election:
Walker (R)
| 1,334,450 | 53.1% |
Barrett (D)
|
1,162,785 | 46.3% | ||||
Difference R | +171,665 |
2012 Lt Governor's Recall Election:
Rebecca Kleefisch (R) | 1,300,213 | 53.0% |
Mahlon Mitchell (D) | 1,154,528 | 47.0% |
Difference R + 145,685
2011 State Supreme Court Election:
David Prosser (R) 752,323
Joanne Kloppenburg 745,007
Difference Prosser R +7,006
2010 Governor's Race
Walker (R) 1,128,941
Barrett (D) 1,004,303
Difference: R + 124,638
The Democrats threw everything at the most recent 2012 elections, even busing in Union Workers from California, and still lost Wisconsin by MORE than they did in 2010.
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