Saturday, September 8, 2012

The Dismal NO Disasterous Jobs Recovery:

This chart tells the story.  The Red Dots are the Unemployment Rate since 2008.  This chart was used to justify the $800 Billion Stimulus Package.  The light blue line was what the unemployment rate was projected to be without the Stimulus Package.  We should be so lucky!

The dark line was the projected unemployment rate WITH the stimulus plan.  Obviously the Obama Stimulus Plan has been a disaster.  And remember the red dots are the actual Unemployment Rate!  Wow!

Now the depressing details:

– Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 96,000 in August, the Labor Department said, versus expectations of 125,000 jobs or more. The manufacturing sector, much touted by the president in his convention speech, lost 15,000 jobs.
– Since the start of the year, job growth has averaged 139,000 per month vs. an average monthly gain of 153,000 in 2011.
– As the chart at the top shows, the unemployment rate remains far above the rate predicted by Team Obama if Congress passed the stimulus. (This is the Romer-Bernstein chart.)
– While the unemployment rate dropped to 8.1% from 8.3% in July, it was due to a big drop in the labor force participation rate (the share of Americans with a job or looking for one). If fewer Americans hadn’t given up looking for work, the unemployment rate would have risen.
– Reuters notes that the participation rate is now at its lowest level since September 1981.
– If the labor force participation rate was the same as when Obama took office in January 2009, the unemployment rate would be 11.2%.
– If the participation rate had just stayed the same as last month, the unemployment rate would be 8.4%.

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