The Coley Matrix homepage is here.Colley's matrix method for ranking college football teams based on very simple statistical principles, and uses only wins and losses as input—margin of victory does not matter. The scheme adjusts effectively for strength of schedule, in a way that is free of bias toward conference, tradition, or region. Comparison of rankings produced by this method to those produced by the press polls shows that despite its simplicity, the scheme produces common sense results.
This method focuses more on "deservedness" to play in the national championship game than it does predictiveness, per se, which may be of more interest to some fans and bookmakers, who often consider margin of victory, injuries and other factors in assessing the possible outcome of a particular game.
Final Coley Matrix College Football Rankings:
Rank School / Rating / Record / SOS Rank / Top Win
1. Notre Dame 0.9739 12-1 0.623842: 8 3 6 W: #6 Stanford
2. Alabama 0.9611 13-1 0.598445: 21 4 6 W: #1 Notre Dame3. Ohio St 0.9424 12-0 0.516158: 60 2 6 W: #15 Nebraska
4. Florida 0.9335 11-2 0.654082: 2 5 6 W: #7 South Carolina
5. Oregon 0.9274 12-1 0.570152: 37 3 6 W: #10 Kansas St
6. Stanford 0.9230 12-2 0.626290: 7 3 8 W: #5 Oregon
7. S. Carolina 0.8925 11-2 0.606771: 14 4 4 W: #9 Georgia
8. Texas AandM 0.8920 11-2 0.606266: 15 2 5 W: #2 Alabama
9. Georgia 0.8875 12-2 0.585806: 27 3 4 W: #4 Florida
10. Kansas St 0.8742 11-2 0.585659: 28 2 5 W: #12 Oklahoma
11. LSU 0.8263 10-3 0.607287: 13 2 4 W: #7 South Carolina
12. Oklahoma 0.8254 10-3 0.606237: 16 1 4 W: #19 Texas
13. Clemson 0.8251 11-2 0.529070: 53 1 2 W: #11 LSU
14. Florida St 0.8036 12-2 0.489854: 71 2 3 W: #13 Clemson
15. Nebraska 0.7720 10-4 0.596678: 23 3 6 W: #20 Northwestern
16. San Jose St 0.7644 11-2 0.458950: 88 0 1 W: #36 Louisiana Tech
17. Louisville 0.7565 11-2 0.449849: 95 1 4 W: #4 Florida
18. Oregon St 0.7479 9-4 0.593747: 24 0 4 W: #27 UCLA
19. Texas 0.7390 9-4 0.583562: 30 1 5 W: #18 Oregon St
20. Northwestern 0.7375 10-3 0.504847: 64 1 4 W: #23 Vanderbilt
21. N. Illinois 0.7171 12-2 0.391030: 126 0 3 W: #34 Kent St
22. Utah St 0.715156 11-2 0.402103: 122 1 3 W: #16 San Jose St
23. Vanderbilt 0.70693 9-4 0.546465: 45 0 1 W: #46 Mississippi
24. Arkansas St 0.7067 10-3 0.469328: 82 0 2 W: #34 Kent St
25. Michigan 0.7013 8-5 0.616994: 9 1 2 W: #20 Northwestern
The Colley Matrix method is explained in detail here.
Colley’s Bias Free College Football Ranking Method, based on solution of the Colley Matrix, has been developed with several salient features, desirable in any computer poll that claims to be unbiased.
1. It has no bias toward conference, tradition, history, or prognostication.
2. It is reproducible; one can check the results.
3. It uses a minimum of assumptions.
4. It uses no ad hoc adjustments.
5. It nonetheless adjusts for strength of schedule.
6. It ignores runaway scores.
7. It produces common sense results that compare well to the press polls.
This information, the weekly poll updates, as well as useful college football links may be found on the Internet home for Colley’s Rankings: http://www.colleyrankings.com/.
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