Friday, August 19, 2022

Polling Update - Republicans EXPAND lead to 5 points on generic ballot

Generic Polling Update -  

There has been a lot of bed-wetting about GOP polling lately vs. the Democrats.  But the latest Rasmussen Reports poll puts the GOP up by 5 points which is an improvement of a 3 point lead last week.  Some highlights:

  • 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41% would vote for the Democrat
  • The GOP lead is two points higher than last week, when they led 46%-43%.
  • The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 14-18, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports.
  • The Republican lead is mainly due to a nine-point advantage among independent voters. 
  • Eighty-six percent (86%) of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, while 82% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate.
  • Fifty-one percent (51%) of whites, 26% of black voters and 44% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today.
  • Fifty-eight percent (58%) of black voters, 38% of whites and 41% of other minorities would vote Democrat.
  • Voters under 40 favor Democrats by a 14-point margin, 49% to 35%, but voters ages 40-64 favor Republicans 51% to 37%, and the GOP lead is 12 points – 52% to 40% – among voters 65 and older.
  • Retirees support Republicans over Democrats by a 12-point margin, 51% to 39%, while government employees favor Democrats by a 15-point margin.
  • Republicans lead by eight points, 45%-37%, among voters with incomes below $30,000 a year, while Democrats have an 11-point advantage, 53% to 42%, among voters with annual incomes above $200,000.
  • The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 14-18, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Read the entire survey here.



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