Generic Polling Update -
There has been a lot of bed-wetting about GOP polling lately vs. the Democrats. But the latest Rasmussen Reports poll puts the GOP up by 5 points which is an improvement of a 3 point lead last week. Some highlights:
- 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41% would vote for the Democrat
- The GOP lead is two points higher than last week, when they led 46%-43%.
- The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 14-18, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports.
- The Republican lead is mainly due to a nine-point advantage among independent voters.
- Eighty-six percent (86%) of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, while 82% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate.
- Fifty-one percent (51%) of whites, 26% of black voters and 44% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today.
- Fifty-eight percent (58%) of black voters, 38% of whites and 41% of other minorities would vote Democrat.
- Voters under 40 favor Democrats by a 14-point margin, 49% to 35%, but voters ages 40-64 favor Republicans 51% to 37%, and the GOP lead is 12 points – 52% to 40% – among voters 65 and older.
- Retirees support Republicans over Democrats by a 12-point margin, 51% to 39%, while government employees favor Democrats by a 15-point margin.
- Republicans lead by eight points, 45%-37%, among voters with incomes below $30,000 a year, while Democrats have an 11-point advantage, 53% to 42%, among voters with annual incomes above $200,000.
- The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 14-18, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Read the entire survey here.
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