It's obviously early but so far - things are looking GREAT in early voting ballot requests in the must win (for Dems) North Carolina. Dems would need to be PLUS FOUR to make this a toss-up state, more to win the state as Republicans tend to win Election Day. And Donald Trump won North Carolina in 2024 by about 3%. Interesting:
See the data here.
So in Florida Dems are doing a little better - but they are only Plus 2.9% in a State to flip they would need to be PLUS 14.
See the raw data here.
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